Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.851088 6.418842 7.043332 7.786043 8.651703 9.636818 10.854338
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.039170 5.815136 6.738150 7.936815 9.483035 11.456308 14.246067
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.451229 5.294358 6.346395 7.791666 9.787811 12.552967 16.889102
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.069235 4.953459 6.098604 7.744495 10.151029 13.732262 19.915591
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.730939 4.621414 5.807756 7.574004 10.277600 14.549319 22.579648
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.499320 4.403466 5.639646 7.541745 10.584293 15.686896 26.174186
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.302874 4.213069 5.485830 7.502149 10.858743 16.811965 30.176677
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.195449 4.135746 5.482959 7.686855 11.524858 18.792435 36.996581
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.995478 3.909962 5.239046 7.455360 11.422552 19.250655 40.338716
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.813437 3.698329 4.999844 7.205591 11.247983 19.517726 43.326447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.672766 3.539033 4.828998 7.052485 11.230505 20.118979 47.706139
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.560398 3.415258 4.704328 6.965240 11.325738 20.998342 53.652450
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.538907 3.435278 4.820568 7.335641 12.450246 24.842216 75.558112
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.467584 3.375566 4.805760 7.474107 13.138758 27.933353 100.638351
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.353283 3.241020 4.655920 7.341330 13.201569 29.290463 119.656113
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.265081 3.142426 4.558819 7.298156 13.463228 31.392260 150.559387
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.165409 3.019909 4.412207 7.142016 13.426944 32.521729 178.514314
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.094232 2.939656 4.333084 7.112456 13.699841 34.897137 233.512499
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.027411 2.862952 4.254838 7.076166 13.950194 37.356204 312.496389
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.995838 2.842464 4.274449 7.245385 14.784827 42.787480 543.689507
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.911940 2.730710 4.122647 7.033272 14.523574 43.215269 655.973509
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.830827 2.620571 3.968442 6.804106 14.181396 43.139127 764.761998
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.766756 2.536787 3.858445 6.663468 14.077554 44.251652 1015.965624